It was a changing
month in the world(view) change literature. The Department of Defense
came out with a report on Abrupt Climate Change that offers
an extreme scenario of what and when an abrupt climate change
could imply for national and international security. The document was
remarkably apolitical, constructed by true military analysts and built
on a strong scientific background. For a review of the report from a political
perspective and a link to the PDF, visit an article
in Grist Magazine. Nevertheless, I do have some observations from
the point of view of the Worldview Change Project. You should read the
report before reading below. The report is highly readable, written for
politicians. It has a 4-page summary and about 18 pages of report.
The study team apparently did not use computer modeling to generate
its scenario, meaning they did the complex modeling in their heads.
Nonetheless they based many of the projections on climate change models.
They paid heed to feedbacks at least in climate change. The riskier
part of their analysis comes with the social analysis where less computer
modeling exists and feedbacks were no so clearly identified. Also their
time frames and magnitude of changes would depend on quantitative modeling.
Their noble reliance on past climatological and archeological experience
is very good but they failed to make the point directly that conditions
today are vastly different from the eras of past collapsed civilizations.
The world is much smaller today and far more interlinked.
They made few direct references to changing lifestyles as a remedial
action, although they made plenty of references to the differences between
rich and poor nations. They stated that humans probably cannot avoid
an abrupt climate change, yet promptly addressing environmental conflicts
and energy use can ameliorate the impact.
There were no references to underlying belief systems and assumptions
driving the behavior. These were assumed exogenous and un-changeable.
They do not assume that environment already plays an important role
in the current array of problems and that most of the trends are already
underway (hopefully with the exception of the worldwide deep ocean conveyor
belt collapse).
This month I’ve tenderly put down the self-employed
foot (even rejecting a possible 9-5 job offer).I learned about Schedule Cs and Self-employment tax and will start
a SIMPLE Era for small business owners with less than 100 employees.Of course that body of employees would be just
me.I have done some freelance editing, sold an
article, and taken contracts with a local school district and a large
conservation organization to evaluate a project in Latin America.One of the avenues that I am patrolling now
for a means to write the book is through the greater flexibility (and
insecurity) of a self-employed being.Perhaps it is a step toward a self-actualized being.More on that in a couple of years.
After Daniel Quinn, the late
DonellaMeadows’s
has been
heretofore the most influential mind on this aspiring novelist and
Worldview Change agent. For many
years, she was a
professor at DartmouthCollege
who later resigned her post
(after becoming the first woman tenured professor there) to
become a full-time writer on sustainability and systems thinking.
But before that, she had earned remarkable fame (though that was
never her objective) in the system dynamics world.Her name
echoed around the world as lead author of Limits
to Growth in
1972.She has made multiple contributions
to the field of systems
dynamics, especially honing the notion of computer modeling, and
the systems of sustainability.One
could go on at great lengths,
as those in audience who have had the great privilege know, but
her influence on this project came through the notion that
paradigms (she adopted the word from Thomas Kuhn, another
inspiration for this project) drive human behavior.To tip our world to sustainability implied changing deep paradigms
that structured the system.I had
the good fortune of her message as a student of Dana’s.I took her environmental journalism class where she helped me publish
my first three-figure story, in Wildlife
Conservation.She was also
on the advisory board of an environmental publication that I edited at
Dartmouth and helped found the Sustainability Institute
(see below).Unfortunately it wasn’t until the last couple
of years that I have drawn most influence from her writings as they have
become eminently relevant to the Worldview Change Project.Also unfortunate, I can no longer benefit from
her wisdom as she passed away in February 2001.You may visit an article she wrote about me and Iabout her.
I
launched a campaign of mailing out the Worldview Change Project promotional CD, since frankly the
likelihood of actually seeing these people scattered about the country
isn’t even as high as my helping to change the predominant worldview.Fortunately I have been receiving some
positive feedback (in the common parlance, not systems jargon).Drew Jones, a systems modeler with the
Sustainability Institute said of the PowerPoint
presentation:“Technically, it
is amazing. Very effective at engaging me…The case you make is compelling as well. Solid layout of
why to do this work.Content-wise, the focus on world view change
is sorely needed, of course.”
So
I have been asked, what’s novel
about a novel?I am studying
systems theory, reading the history of science, anthropologists, and
a wide bookshelf of other academic materials.Yet I persist in believing that a novel will best suit the Worldview
Change Project’s goals.The answer
of course will be contained within that book, whose skeletal plot is
now only emerging from the dark shadows, bone by bone.But since humans are essentially story-telling
and story-hearing creatures and it is necessary to step out of a box
before one can see the box, novels, especially ones doused with a little
fantasy, allow readers to suspend their beliefs, even temporarily, without
a kick and fight as they would if they were reading a political treatise.One does not need to stand firm in defending one’s beliefs, when
one is standing in another’s world.Books like Daniel Quinn’s Ishmael,
Plato’s Republic, Pirsig’sZen and
the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance, and Orwell’s Animal Farm all used fiction as a far more precise delivery
system than any frontal attack would ever attain. But being fiction does not mean research
is not rigorous.No one would
ever accuse of Tom Clancy’s research of being loose.Thus, though fiction I may write, the broad
depth of research will be reflected in chapter after chapter and in
the extensive notes in the back.But
they won’t be normal end notes.Wait
and see.
For all those of you who deeply
believed that worldview
was a term as fuzzy as a rabbit, think again. Don’t
underestimate that rabbit.With the help of David Naugle
and his book Worldview: History
of a Concept, I have
come to realize that the term worldview has not been taken
lightly over the years, least of all by Germans.The founder
of the term according to this Christian scholar was
Immanuel Kant, weltanschuung.The irony
is that he used
it but barely.Other big names
developed the term
extensively:Hegel, Kierkegaard, and Nietzsche, among
many others.The term has an active
philosophical tradition
and some relevant contributions to this project.Nietzsche
responds to the question “What is truth?” like this:
“A mobile army of metaphors, metonyms, and
anthropomorphisms ¾
in short, a sum of human relations,
which have been enhanced, transposed, and embellished
poetically and rhetorically, and which after long use seem
firm, canonical, and obligatory to a people:truths are
illusions about which one has forgotten that this is what they are; metaphors
which are worn out and without sensuous power; coins which have lost their
pictures and how matter only as metal, no longer as coins.”
This month’s link is the Sustainability
Institute.Since I have cited
it more than once above directly and indirectly, I would like to pitch
that this organization is doing some innovative work in the use of systems
to promote sustainability.Donella
Meadows was one of the founders of SI.
“Cosmopathy”
is the pathology of worldviews, whereby a person suffers from competing
worldviews or the need to change worldviews because
the gap between the worldview’s beliefs and perceived
reality cause a breakdown, a condition which the Worldview Change Project
aims to help.Cosmopathy
is distributed to those interested in the progress of the WCP.Your name can be added or deleted by submitting
a request to the author.